Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.369008 4.896270 5.470261 6.142862 6.911087 7.763100 8.782259
2025-01-26 3.603805 4.306541 5.129381 6.169182 7.455380 9.003519 11.022065
2025-02-02 3.201158 4.014773 5.021586 6.370152 8.145896 10.427455 13.618261
2025-02-09 2.883819 3.759474 4.892420 6.483829 8.690561 11.685442 16.131669
2025-02-16 2.629381 3.541658 4.767492 6.561112 9.162427 12.866736 18.666657
2025-02-23 2.422367 3.357545 4.656674 6.627712 9.603759 14.030457 21.308142
2025-03-02 2.178260 3.092707 4.399226 6.443583 9.638841 14.574448 23.043266
2025-03-09 2.001014 2.905150 4.231162 6.366924 9.815812 15.338307 25.212273
2025-03-16 1.845515 2.734411 4.069610 6.278203 9.954277 16.041735 27.356746
2025-03-23 1.788176 2.706650 4.121492 6.528915 10.667663 17.774014 31.552848
2025-03-30 1.680186 2.589791 4.021420 6.517227 10.929564 18.748396 34.482392
2025-04-06 1.574744 2.468116 3.902338 6.459539 11.099851 19.569852 37.224692
2025-04-13 1.417434 2.252999 3.617048 6.095990 10.695478 19.307140 37.812171
2025-04-20 1.346401 2.176039 3.557612 6.126295 11.021348 20.472431 41.548861
2025-04-27 1.310352 2.155007 3.591239 6.326562 11.689172 22.388916 47.224793
2025-05-04 1.262954 2.110427 3.579295 6.439537 12.196660 24.041917 52.595346
2025-05-11 1.213872 2.058997 3.550431 6.516258 12.637430 25.608069 58.037643
2025-05-18 1.167115 2.008166 3.518225 6.582348 13.061539 27.189936 63.803959
2025-05-25 1.090766 1.898279 3.368221 6.399650 12.936159 27.524554 66.454771
2025-06-01 1.034377 1.821510 3.275001 6.323585 13.033030 28.378407 70.621790
2025-06-08 0.980816 1.746625 3.180095 6.235550 13.093333 29.152242 74.714042
2025-06-15 0.970323 1.752637 3.242535 6.484320 13.945823 31.958672 85.111523
2025-06-22 0.931093 1.700695 3.186533 6.472723 14.189828 33.280491 91.433029